HERZLIYA, Israel -- A Russian nuclear proliferation expert contradicted a U.S. National Intelligence Estimate, telling a conference here that Iran has developed the capability to produce and fire nuclear weapons."Iran already has nuclear capabilities," [Ret.] Gen. Vladimir Dvorkin said on Feb. 4 in a speech to the the annual Herzliya Conference. He also said that said Iran has engineered its latest missiles, enabling them to contain a nuclear warhead.
In a sharp departure from the U.S. NIE in late 2007, the Russian analyst said Teheran acquired most of the components needed for a nuclear bomb as early as 2003.
A member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Dvorkin said Iran has succeeded in concealing the progress of its nuclear program.
[Ret.] Gen. Vladimir Dvorkin PBS
"Iran has systematically managed to fool the international community regarding its nuclear plans," Dvorkin said.
NIE asserted that Teheran, concerned of a U.S. attack, suspended its nuclear weapons program in 2003. The controversial assessment, disowned by many in the U.S. intelligence community, asserted that Iran failed to complete the development of a nuclear warhead for Iran's Shihab-3 intermediate ballistic missile.
But Dvorkin said Iran has already modified the Shihab-3 to contain a nuclear warhead. He said Teheran has constructed sufficient numbers of these missiles, with a range of more than 2,000 kilometers, to strike "any target they want."
Iran's nuclear weapons program continues to be fraught with difficulties, Dvorkin said. He cited the biggest problem as the acquisition of uranium, saying Teheran was believed to have obtained the ore from the black market.
The Russian analyst dismissed the prospect that the West could persuade Iran to end its nuclear weapons program. He said Iran regarded nuclear weapons as its key strategic asset.
"The only way I see the problem being resolved is by military action," Dvorkin said.
I'm not sure if rage or disgust is more dominant in me.
Is THE ONE up to all this? So far it has been truly astonishing mistakes in foreign efforts, and a laughable shambles domestically, punctuated by a bill to save us, which no one read before passing it.
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