Green Energy
The Great Contraction
So
says Ezra Klein. Some of what he writes does make sense:
...Recessions...imply a very particular economic phenomena: a business-cycle recession, in which the drop is quick, and the recovery is usually similarly swift. That is not what we’re in. That is not what financial crises are. And mistaking one for the other has, in his opinion, cost us a fortune.
Financial crises are not about the business cycle falling out of whack. They’re about debt. Lots of it. And that’s why they’re so resistant to efforts to speed a recovery. Whereas you normally get out of a recession by lowering interest rates and persuading consumers to spend, the period after a financial crisis is marked by consumers trying to dig out from under a mountain of borrowed money. You can accelerate that process, but it’s hard to do. But first you must correctly diagnose the problem.
Rogoff has suggested we call this period the “Great Contraction” in order to distinguish it from more normal recessions. You may or may not like the name, but consider this: When we talk about double-dip recessions, that implies, as the National Bureau of Economic Research has said, that the recession ended in summer 2009, and we’ve been recovering ever since. The Great Contraction, conversely, suggests we have been, and remain, mired in an ongoing financial crisis. Which better describes the economy you see?...
Read the entire essay
HERE. I'm no fan of Klein's, but I think that he has some valid points in that essay.
Of course, what we call this disastrous economic situation doesn't matter. But how our so-called leaders analyze it
DOES matter because the economic policy for addressing a recession and a depression is different.
Clearly, what Obamanomics has done is not the proper way to address the depression we're in.
I keep referring to the term "depression" because, in my view, we are indeed in a great depression and not a recession.
If our policy makers cannot use the "d" word, then let them use the term "contraction." I, for one, am sick and tired of hearing the words "recession" (or whatever euphemism the Obama regime is using) and "shared sacrifice."
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Happy Days Are Here Again !! Recession Over ... Just Ask The Statisticians Who Work For The Govt
By epaminondas on September 20, 2010 2:17 PM | No TrackBacks WSJ:By Phil IzzoThe National Bureau of Economic Research, the arbiter of the start and end dates of a recession, determined...
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Dick Morris at Front Page Mag: The Summer of Unemployment Posted by Dick Morris In our book “2010: Take Back America — A Battle Plan,” we write: “The prospect we now face is not the intermittent up-and-down fluctuations of unemployment we have...
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Uh Oh..opec Has Troubles !
OPEC sees 'devastating contraction' in oil demand OPEC again revised down its estimate for world crude demand on Wednesday, saying a "devasting contraction" in consumption would keep prices under pressure in the months ahead. "In...
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Wsj Today/real Clear Markets: "there Is Ample Reason To Worry About Slipping Into A Depression"
The most serious concern is that the downturn will become something worse than the largest recession of the post-World War II period -- 1982, when real per capita GDP fell by 3% and the unemployment rate peaked at nearly 11%. Could we even...
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