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The Iran Deal ? A is A
There are 2 possible reasons to TRY to reach a deal with Iran
I assume the first is to avoid the outbreak of a regional war of incalculable results brought on by an Israeli attack (over CERTAIN American opposition, as we can now see).
The second is that American interests are served by a deal, without regard to American allies of any stripe.
I have read appropriately 12 articles in places such The American Interest, Foreign Policy, the Naval Institute and other places as well as links from ReaClearDefense, RealClearPolitics, and RealClearWorld. There has been an avalanche of articles in the last 7-10 days all trying to explain why this deal is a good thing and is realistic.
They all ignore 1 thing.
They ignore the will of the Israeli people as expressed in their REPEATED elections.
If their representative govt does not feel the result of any deal leaves the people SECURE in their daily lives, the Israelis will fight.
Nothing else matters. Any deal we make for our own purposes will be gone.
As we all have coffee this morning I am SURE the Iranians will not make any deal which will decrease their sovereignty regarding inspections or their right to refine U-235. That alone makes an agreement difficult if not impossible if it is to be REAL. But when the object of our action is a deal, NOT THE SECURITY of the result, one can easily end up with the opposite of one's desire.
Sudetenland. Oslo. Wye.
In this case, though, no matter what we identify as OUR interest as defined by OUR elected govt, we cannot achieve that objective if Israel looks at this deal (where they are NOT represented, btw) and says NO. That is because they are the ACTOR.
We can jam it down their throats, or try via warnings about military supply and deals, but their safety and existence trump such warnings. And they are not without final recourse, especially as we look astonished at the sight of Likud and the Wahabbis in agreement and some kind of cooperation if not alliance, or as we think about their drones, their technology, their AEW systems, all of which are desired by nations inimical to the USA and its people.
But most worrisome is the arrogant way this president conducts himself in all things. The most blatant example is, of course, Obamacare. No cooperation from the loyal opposition because no realistic compromise was acceptable.
We thus find ourselves with a president and an administration who can reach out to the most racist, dictatorial, and repressive regimes on the planet with real and dangerous compromises, but who cannot reach any with Americans, and their allies.
WHY NOT?
The Israelis WILL ATTACK, if the deal is not sufficient, and do so in some rather unexpected manner, and in doing so place the USA forever away from them and thus upset in every way all that has been built since 1948.
And I am talking about NATO and it's worldwide bridgework of cooperation, NOT Israel.
Why is this not clear?
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