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Thoughts on Israel's Raid Into Syria A Few Days Back
A very important post from Robert Avrech at Seraphic Secret:
Last Thursday, the Israeli Air Force penetrated deeply into Syrian territory and apparently bombed an Iranian arms shipment that was being transferred to Hizbullah.
However, there is something wrong with this picture.
Iran are constantly arming Hizbullah. It's non-stop. Why would Israel suddenly spring into action and fly over Turkey then penetrate so deeply into Syrian that the IAF were just a few miles from the Iraqi border?
The intel for this raid has been building for months. Security was top-level. The raid was perfectly planned, split-second timing was crucial; this was a daring attack, extremely dangerous and carried potentially serious international blow back.
In truth, Israel had no choice.
The North Koreans have been selling nuclear material to the Syrians. And this cannot stand.
As John, from the invaluable military blog Op For, explained to Seraphic Secret:
This is cause for concern. The hardest part about constructing a bomb is finding grade fissible material. If Iran bought direct from the North Koreans, the Syrians could put together a crude device in short order. Mating it to a delivery system, different story. But who needs missiles and jets when you have a fanatic with a back pack and access to Israeli cities?
There was a second purpose to the Israeli raid, and that was to test Syrian radar and ground defenses. If you check your world maps you'll see that the most direct route from Israel to Iran is over Syria.
Sooner or later Israel must take out the Iranian nuclear facilities.Yes, that's right.
Go read the whole thing.
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