Green Energy
- The Down And Dirty Today - Exit Polls - Wsj
From the WSJ:Exit polls in 2008 indicated that 74% of those who cast ballots were white. If the white share of the electorate drops, say to 72%, it seems pretty clear Mr. Obama will win. If it rises, to say 76%, that means Mr. Romney likely is going...
- Las Vegas Oddsmaker Explains Why He Predicts Romney Landslide
From Wayne Allyn Root: On May 30th, I made a prediction that shocked the readers of TownHall. I predicted a Romney landslide- with Obama leading in every poll. I did not make that prediction as a political columnist, or as the former Libertarian Presidential...
- Gop Routing Democrats In Pennsylvania Absentee-ballot Returns, 55%-36%
From Ace of Spades: As far as history: the GOP edged the Democrats in absentee balloting in 2008, but only by 2%, in a 10% loss to Obama.Go read the whole thing. MEANWHILE, Dick Morris Says, Here Comes the Landslide: Voters have figured out...
- Poll Too Much To Hope For Battleground Poll 10/29 … Romney Wins 52-47, And In Ohio
Maybe this explains Obama becoming really weird.Reported by Weekly Std, Human Events, Fox News, and the Inquisitor. Politico which partners with Battleground, did NOT report this, and carries the news that Obama has pulled back into the lead.New Projection...
- Political Oddsmaker Picks Romney Over Obama In A Landslide
Wayne Allyn Root at Townhall reported: As an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years...
Green Energy
On this day in 1980 the electorate broke for Reagan
Gallup today has doubled down on their methodology.
Polls state to state have reflected late movement, and most if not all in Romney’s favor.
Yet, we have Nate Silver and Charlie Cook still claiming Obama is the ODDS ON winner, with RealclearPolitics showing InTrade on the election 2-1 for Obama.
One of the pre-emininent electorate experts, Michael Barone has called this election for Romney and BIG by electoral results.
Karl Rove has numbers certainly giving direction to this conclusion.
Paul Krugman claims today anyone believing this election is close is STUPID (he thinks Obama big).
Rasmussen shows a tie, but Romney shockingly ahead in key states now.
In other words, no one has any frickin’ idea what’s going on.
Good.
So predicting this election comes down to ONE THING.
Churchill always felt it was wise (or so he said) to put your faith in the people. The folks voting for Mitt Romney by and large are not doing so because he is some sort of American Hero, nor a savior nor to fundamentally change what american has traditionally been all about. They are not voting for him out of a hope he will make politics better.
I think the vast majority of Romney voters are doing so because they SEE Mr. Obama. Not as evil, not as a commie or socialist. People see what other people ARE if they can see a person long enough.
People are voting for Mitt Romney because they think we are really in deep trouble wherever they look (wrong track). People are voting for Mitt Romney because they think he is more likely to get us going than Obama, who has failed except by the very low standards they set for themselves when faced by their own criteria of 2009.
In 1980 the closing set of polls gave hope to those who felt Carter also had failed, and even though he won only 50.8% of the votes, the electoral college result exceeded what Michael Barone predicts for Tuesday.
So to predict the result of this election you have to have faith that the majority of people in the states controlling 270 electors have correctly identified that America is in deep trouble.
I can’t predict the result of this election because I am using this election to tell me if we are the nation I hope we are.
I am afraid we are not.
But I take hope in this:
No one out there has a clue who is going to win this thing.
One result is certain: The science of polling is going to change as a result of tuesday.
Wednesday, (if we don’t have to wait for lawsuits, riots, the ‘motherfucker’ burning down via grandma’s arsonists, and Ohio’s absentee counts) either my fear (and De Toqueville’s) about where we are will be validated, or the American people will show it’s not so easy, exceptionalism is real, and many of us will be filled with faith.
It is hard to see Obama being reelected and not see decline, and violence abroad coming for us as a result of his wishful attitudes. Since I decried what was clearly coming as obvious 4 years ago, my faith today is not exactly in surplus.
- The Down And Dirty Today - Exit Polls - Wsj
From the WSJ:Exit polls in 2008 indicated that 74% of those who cast ballots were white. If the white share of the electorate drops, say to 72%, it seems pretty clear Mr. Obama will win. If it rises, to say 76%, that means Mr. Romney likely is going...
- Las Vegas Oddsmaker Explains Why He Predicts Romney Landslide
From Wayne Allyn Root: On May 30th, I made a prediction that shocked the readers of TownHall. I predicted a Romney landslide- with Obama leading in every poll. I did not make that prediction as a political columnist, or as the former Libertarian Presidential...
- Gop Routing Democrats In Pennsylvania Absentee-ballot Returns, 55%-36%
From Ace of Spades: As far as history: the GOP edged the Democrats in absentee balloting in 2008, but only by 2%, in a 10% loss to Obama.Go read the whole thing. MEANWHILE, Dick Morris Says, Here Comes the Landslide: Voters have figured out...
- Poll Too Much To Hope For Battleground Poll 10/29 … Romney Wins 52-47, And In Ohio
Maybe this explains Obama becoming really weird.Reported by Weekly Std, Human Events, Fox News, and the Inquisitor. Politico which partners with Battleground, did NOT report this, and carries the news that Obama has pulled back into the lead.New Projection...
- Political Oddsmaker Picks Romney Over Obama In A Landslide
Wayne Allyn Root at Townhall reported: As an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years...