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The Down and Dirty today - Exit polls - WSJ
From the WSJ:
- Exit polls in 2008 indicated that 74% of those who cast ballots were white. If the white share of the electorate drops, say to 72%, it seems pretty clear Mr. Obama will win. If it rises, to say 76%, that means Mr. Romney likely is going to win. If the level stays constant, it could be a long night. Parallel question: Can Mr. Obama win 40% or more of the white vote? If he does, he’ll be in good shape.
- The performance of young adults is either Mr. Obama’s secret weapon or his Achilles’ heel. In pre-election polling, two findings stand out: Mr. Obama still is favored by a wide margin among voters aged 18 to 29, but the interest they express in this election is below that of four years ago. So, the question is whether they come out to vote even if they aren’t as enthused as before
- Mr. Romney may well need to win Virginia’s 13 votes first for Ohio to matter later. Let’s assume, for example, that Mr. Romney wins North Carolina, Florida and Ohio as well as the swing states of New Hampshire and Colorado. He would still come up four electoral-college votes short of the 270 needed to win without Virginia.
- To get a better sense of what’s happening in Ohio, don’t just watch the state vote totals. Watch a few key counties. Wall Street Journal counties expert Dante Chinni points to three. One is Hamilton, the home of Cincinnati and a county the Journal has been watching all year. Mr. Obama captured it in 2008, the first time a Democrat had done so since 1964. He doesn’t have to win it this time, but he has to make it close. Also watch Wood and Ottawa, two counties between Toledo and Cleveland that have gone with the state’s winner in every presidential election since 1992.
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Massive Voter Fraud?
The November 19, 2012 edition of Newsweek depicts "America" Pamela Geller has a massive post up documenting massive voter fraud. All of this information needs to be investigated. I am going to post Pamela's entire post, and I think everyone...
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On This Day In 1980 The Electorate Broke For Reagan
Gallup today has doubled down on their methodology.Polls state to state have reflected late movement, and most if not all in Romney’s favor.Yet, we have Nate Silver and Charlie Cook still claiming Obama is the ODDS ON winner, with RealclearPolitics showing...
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Las Vegas Oddsmaker Explains Why He Predicts Romney Landslide
From Wayne Allyn Root: On May 30th, I made a prediction that shocked the readers of TownHall. I predicted a Romney landslide- with Obama leading in every poll. I did not make that prediction as a political columnist, or as the former Libertarian Presidential...
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File Under: Someone’s Credibility And Judgement Is Really Going Bye Bye
Gallup shows Romney +5% at 51-46, and has not shown Romney below 50% in a while.Gallup has 3,300 respondents (compared to 500-100 in a normal survey) of those who HAVE already voted, showing Romney 52-47Gallup shows Romney +2 in Ohio todayRasmussen shows...
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Poll Too Much To Hope For Battleground Poll 10/29 … Romney Wins 52-47, And In Ohio
Maybe this explains Obama becoming really weird.Reported by Weekly Std, Human Events, Fox News, and the Inquisitor. Politico which partners with Battleground, did NOT report this, and carries the news that Obama has pulled back into the lead.New Projection...
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