Green Energy
- Like I Said, It Was Too Early For My Triumphalism
Oh well, I guess we're stuck with Obama for 4 more years. Man, was I wrong. From Ace: Both Romney and Obama Camps Expect Romney to Carry Florida ... BUT And I think we'll carry VA and NC, too. Now, it's all going to come down to Ohio. ...
- The Down And Dirty Today - Exit Polls - Wsj
From the WSJ:Exit polls in 2008 indicated that 74% of those who cast ballots were white. If the white share of the electorate drops, say to 72%, it seems pretty clear Mr. Obama will win. If it rises, to say 76%, that means Mr. Romney likely is going...
- Poll Too Much To Hope For Battleground Poll 10/29 … Romney Wins 52-47, And In Ohio
Maybe this explains Obama becoming really weird.Reported by Weekly Std, Human Events, Fox News, and the Inquisitor. Politico which partners with Battleground, did NOT report this, and carries the news that Obama has pulled back into the lead.New Projection...
- Obama Seems To Have Lost The Debate Worse With Every Passing Day
I thought Obama's debate performance was bad. I thought Mitt Romney was good. And, I thought the clear winner was Romney. But, I did not think Obama's loss was that bad a beating. Sure, Romney was the winner (of the debate) in opinion polls by...
- New Rasmussen Poll Shows Perry As Only Republican Candidate Beating Obama (all Others Trail)
And Rasmussen is a Right-leaning polling agency. From Ace: Prior to this poll, Rasmussen -- oddly, Republican-leaning Rasmussen -- has always had Obama ahead in head-to-head match-ups, against any candidate, except, apparently, for a period earlier in...
Green Energy
File under: Someone’s credibility and judgement is REALLY going bye bye
- Gallup shows Romney +5% at 51-46, and has not shown Romney below 50% in a while.
- Gallup has 3,300 respondents (compared to 500-100 in a normal survey) of those who HAVE already voted, showing Romney 52-47
- Gallup shows Romney +2 in Ohio today
- Rasmussen shows Romney +2 in Ohio today
- The RCP avg for Ohio is locked, STILL, into polls from Time and others over a week old. Is this accurate?
And then ….
Nate Silver, ‘supergenius’, NYT 538 blog, from Politico:
Nate Silver: One-term celebrity?
Nate Silver could be a one-term celebrity.The New York Times’s resident political predictor says President BarackObamacurrently has a 74.6 percent chance of winning reelection. It’s a prediction that liberals, whose heart rates continue to fluctuate with the release of every new poll, want to take solace in but somehow can’t. Sure, this is the guy who correctly predicted the outcome of the 2008 election in 49 of 50 states, but this year’s polls suggest a nailbiter.“Romney, clearly, could still win,” Silver told POLITICO today.Prediction is the name of Silver’s game, the basis for his celebrity. So should Mitt Romney win on Nov. 6, it’s difficult to see how people can continue to put faith in the predictions of someone who has never given that candidate anything higher than a 41 percent chance of winning (way back on June 2) and — one week from the election — gives him a one-in-four chance, even as the polls have him almost neck-and-neck with the incumbent.Silver cautions against confusing prediction with prophecy. “If the Giants lead the Redskins 24-21 in the fourth quarter, it’s a close game that either team could win. But it’s also not a “toss-up”: The Giants are favored. It’s the same principle here: Obama is ahead in the polling averages in states like Ohio that would suffice for him to win the Electoral College. Hence, he’s the favorite,” Silver said.
Ahem, have a cup of coffee and get up a little earlier, Nate.
Maybe, just MAYBE, you missed the interception run back for the touchdown while you taking a piss, and then went straight back to that keyboard.
Is this going to be a mini 1980?
- Like I Said, It Was Too Early For My Triumphalism
Oh well, I guess we're stuck with Obama for 4 more years. Man, was I wrong. From Ace: Both Romney and Obama Camps Expect Romney to Carry Florida ... BUT And I think we'll carry VA and NC, too. Now, it's all going to come down to Ohio. ...
- The Down And Dirty Today - Exit Polls - Wsj
From the WSJ:Exit polls in 2008 indicated that 74% of those who cast ballots were white. If the white share of the electorate drops, say to 72%, it seems pretty clear Mr. Obama will win. If it rises, to say 76%, that means Mr. Romney likely is going...
- Poll Too Much To Hope For Battleground Poll 10/29 … Romney Wins 52-47, And In Ohio
Maybe this explains Obama becoming really weird.Reported by Weekly Std, Human Events, Fox News, and the Inquisitor. Politico which partners with Battleground, did NOT report this, and carries the news that Obama has pulled back into the lead.New Projection...
- Obama Seems To Have Lost The Debate Worse With Every Passing Day
I thought Obama's debate performance was bad. I thought Mitt Romney was good. And, I thought the clear winner was Romney. But, I did not think Obama's loss was that bad a beating. Sure, Romney was the winner (of the debate) in opinion polls by...
- New Rasmussen Poll Shows Perry As Only Republican Candidate Beating Obama (all Others Trail)
And Rasmussen is a Right-leaning polling agency. From Ace: Prior to this poll, Rasmussen -- oddly, Republican-leaning Rasmussen -- has always had Obama ahead in head-to-head match-ups, against any candidate, except, apparently, for a period earlier in...