Green Energy
Wretchard questions the wisdom of the Serpent's Egg argument for entering into war:
A reader sends a video link to a Scott Ritter interview on Iranian uranium enrichment capability. Technically speaking Ritter is probably right in saying that Iran can't produce enough fissile material to make an A-bomb in the near future. For a collateral assessment see In From the Cold's: Numbers.
But for those who regard Iran as the Serpent's Egg there is no percentage waiting for it to progress any further. If the regime is inherently hostile in nature, then from that point of view a showdown as early as possible would be best.
Historically, the dangers on both sides of the Serpent's Egg argument can be illustrated by Germany. Germany probably started the First World War in the belief it was being strangled by France, England and Russia and 1914 was the year of "now or never".
But on the other hand, Munich is a counterexample of how it is genuinely possible to miss the "now or never" boat to preserve world peace.
Serpent's Egg arguments are dangerous ones indeed. The problem with history is that things are only clear in retrospect, but as a guide to the future, it is useful as driving down the freeway by looking only at the rear-view mirror.
I would like to ask our readers, who know history better than I, whether this comparison, between Germany circa 1914, and our current situation, is, at all, comparable.
Something tells me it isn't, IN THE LEAST,
I seriously doubt that, in the leadup to WWI, France had been advocating for the destruction of the German state for 27 years running.
Am I right, or what?
C'mon Wretchard, you can do better than that.
- John F. Kerry: Netanyahu’s Iran “mythology” Is Not Going To Happen
John Kerry is in so far over his head. I've never seen such a mannequin in such an important position. The Washington Post reported:Attempts by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to secure a more stringent nuclear deal with Iran are “not...
- "is It 1914 All Over Again?"
From the Independent: Is it 1914 all over again? We are in danger of repeating the mistakes that started WWI, says a leading historian The Great War was sparked by the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand in the Balkans. The Middle East could be...
-
Ground Zero Mosque Developers Won’t Rule Out Taking Money from Saudi Arabia and Iran The serpent shows it’s true face… Click on the title to get the whole story....
- Iran Could Have Atomic Bomb Within 6 Months: German Intel
Which I think is right in line with recent Israeli and American estimates. Though there have been so many lately it's getting hard to keep track of who's betting on what. Other than the annihilation of either Israel or Iran, that is. . . Newsmax:...
- Ahmadinejad: Iran Won The Nuclear Standoff
It would seem he is correct. If so, then future generations will look back on our time and wonder how we could possibly have been so stupid. From AFP: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Thursday the West has failed to break Iran's will in the...
Green Energy
The Serpent's Egg?
Wretchard questions the wisdom of the Serpent's Egg argument for entering into war:
A reader sends a video link to a Scott Ritter interview on Iranian uranium enrichment capability. Technically speaking Ritter is probably right in saying that Iran can't produce enough fissile material to make an A-bomb in the near future. For a collateral assessment see In From the Cold's: Numbers.
But for those who regard Iran as the Serpent's Egg there is no percentage waiting for it to progress any further. If the regime is inherently hostile in nature, then from that point of view a showdown as early as possible would be best.
Historically, the dangers on both sides of the Serpent's Egg argument can be illustrated by Germany. Germany probably started the First World War in the belief it was being strangled by France, England and Russia and 1914 was the year of "now or never".
But on the other hand, Munich is a counterexample of how it is genuinely possible to miss the "now or never" boat to preserve world peace.
Serpent's Egg arguments are dangerous ones indeed. The problem with history is that things are only clear in retrospect, but as a guide to the future, it is useful as driving down the freeway by looking only at the rear-view mirror.
I would like to ask our readers, who know history better than I, whether this comparison, between Germany circa 1914, and our current situation, is, at all, comparable.
Something tells me it isn't, IN THE LEAST,
I seriously doubt that, in the leadup to WWI, France had been advocating for the destruction of the German state for 27 years running.
Am I right, or what?
C'mon Wretchard, you can do better than that.
- John F. Kerry: Netanyahu’s Iran “mythology” Is Not Going To Happen
John Kerry is in so far over his head. I've never seen such a mannequin in such an important position. The Washington Post reported:Attempts by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to secure a more stringent nuclear deal with Iran are “not...
- "is It 1914 All Over Again?"
From the Independent: Is it 1914 all over again? We are in danger of repeating the mistakes that started WWI, says a leading historian The Great War was sparked by the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand in the Balkans. The Middle East could be...
-
Ground Zero Mosque Developers Won’t Rule Out Taking Money from Saudi Arabia and Iran The serpent shows it’s true face… Click on the title to get the whole story....
- Iran Could Have Atomic Bomb Within 6 Months: German Intel
Which I think is right in line with recent Israeli and American estimates. Though there have been so many lately it's getting hard to keep track of who's betting on what. Other than the annihilation of either Israel or Iran, that is. . . Newsmax:...
- Ahmadinejad: Iran Won The Nuclear Standoff
It would seem he is correct. If so, then future generations will look back on our time and wonder how we could possibly have been so stupid. From AFP: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Thursday the West has failed to break Iran's will in the...