Green Energy
In 1980 (the last time an incumbent Democrat was beaten), for example, the Gallup Poll of October 27th had Carter ahead by 45-39. Their survey on November 2nd showed Reagan catching up and leading by three points. In the actual voting, the Republican won by nine. The undecided vote broke sharply — and unanimously — for the challenger.
Go read the whole thing.
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Ace: Remember: John Kerry Easily Won the Exit Polls In 2004, Leading to the "Seven Hour Presidency"So the Exit Polls are being leaked now. Drudge headlines "Race tight." You'll be seeing more leaks, with real numbers. But remember: These are just...
- Parsing The Polls - If Gallup Is Right, Tuesday Will Be A Long Night For The Democratic Party.
From National Review: Last week, the Gallup Organization provided more fodder for the debate over whether this year’s polls are skewed due to a systematic over-representation of Democrats in the samples. If Gallup has it right, Governor Romney’s lead...
- File Under: Someone’s Credibility And Judgement Is Really Going Bye Bye
Gallup shows Romney +5% at 51-46, and has not shown Romney below 50% in a while.Gallup has 3,300 respondents (compared to 500-100 in a normal survey) of those who HAVE already voted, showing Romney 52-47Gallup shows Romney +2 in Ohio todayRasmussen shows...
- Poll Too Much To Hope For Battleground Poll 10/29 … Romney Wins 52-47, And In Ohio
Maybe this explains Obama becoming really weird.Reported by Weekly Std, Human Events, Fox News, and the Inquisitor. Politico which partners with Battleground, did NOT report this, and carries the news that Obama has pulled back into the lead.New Projection...
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What Media Bias?… New CNN Poll Has Obama Up By 3 With Romney Winning Independents By 8 Points I don't usually post election-oriented poll information, because I don't believe it is accurate for a variety of reasons. But, it is important...
Green Energy
Why The Polls Understate Romney Vote
In 1980 (the last time an incumbent Democrat was beaten), for example, the Gallup Poll of October 27th had Carter ahead by 45-39. Their survey on November 2nd showed Reagan catching up and leading by three points. In the actual voting, the Republican won by nine. The undecided vote broke sharply — and unanimously — for the challenger.
Go read the whole thing.
-
Ace: Remember: John Kerry Easily Won the Exit Polls In 2004, Leading to the "Seven Hour Presidency"So the Exit Polls are being leaked now. Drudge headlines "Race tight." You'll be seeing more leaks, with real numbers. But remember: These are just...
- Parsing The Polls - If Gallup Is Right, Tuesday Will Be A Long Night For The Democratic Party.
From National Review: Last week, the Gallup Organization provided more fodder for the debate over whether this year’s polls are skewed due to a systematic over-representation of Democrats in the samples. If Gallup has it right, Governor Romney’s lead...
- File Under: Someone’s Credibility And Judgement Is Really Going Bye Bye
Gallup shows Romney +5% at 51-46, and has not shown Romney below 50% in a while.Gallup has 3,300 respondents (compared to 500-100 in a normal survey) of those who HAVE already voted, showing Romney 52-47Gallup shows Romney +2 in Ohio todayRasmussen shows...
- Poll Too Much To Hope For Battleground Poll 10/29 … Romney Wins 52-47, And In Ohio
Maybe this explains Obama becoming really weird.Reported by Weekly Std, Human Events, Fox News, and the Inquisitor. Politico which partners with Battleground, did NOT report this, and carries the news that Obama has pulled back into the lead.New Projection...
-
What Media Bias?… New CNN Poll Has Obama Up By 3 With Romney Winning Independents By 8 Points I don't usually post election-oriented poll information, because I don't believe it is accurate for a variety of reasons. But, it is important...